Lots of new apartment construction to meet the tidal wave of demand for rentals

 

One benefit from lots of rent growth: Lots of new apartment construction to meet the tidal wave of demand for rentals. The U.S. apartment market is scheduled to complete more than 414,000 market-rate units in 2022, and another 442,000 units in 2023. We haven’t seen completion levels that high since the 1970s and early 1980s.

Construction costs are way up โ€“ land, materials, labor โ€“ but developers are able to move forward due to big wage growth among renters. We wouldnโ€™t see this huge surge in apartment construction if not for wage growth empowering renters to absorb the cost increases through higher rents. A typical market-rate apartment household signing a lease in Q1 2022 reported annual income of nearly $72,000, up by more than 10% year-over-year.

Ultimately, rents and home prices are both surging right now primarily due to housing shortages, and we need more housing of all types to support long-term affordability and availability.

The vast majority of the new supply is targeted to the top end of the market. While thatโ€™s definitely needed, thereโ€™s an even greater needed for lower-income affordable housing โ€“ but that can only happen with substantially more public funding. Cities and states concerned about housing affordability must get serious about adequately supporting affordable housing development.