Climate change, shifting criteria, and growing complexity in assets are facilitating an evolution in commercial real estate valuation.
Market Trends
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The increasing cost of capital and mounting concerns about ex-ante exit cap rates will ultimately drive buyers’ bids lower and property yields higher for the multifamily sector. So, multifamily property values will face pressure from both the Fed pushing rates and banks following suit with loan interest rates.
While many are trying to figure out if we are in a recession yet or not, fundamentals in multifamily are “still fairly strong
Year-over-year rent increases slowed but are still up 8.8 percent last month. September apartment rents are down month-over-month, in what experts from Rent.com call “a hopeful sign” the market is stabilizing.
Buyers and sellers have to adjust to the new normal. Sellers historically have been relatively slow to respond to these kinds of shifts, That is where you have the gap between buyers and sellers.
Even though multifamily proposal activity continues to be relatively strong, the index has cooled somewhat, likely due to the rising cost of borrowing money to finance new projects, says Burstein.